Predicting the winner of the 2016 US presidential election

Show HN: Predicting the winner of the 2016 US presidential election

Predicting the winner of the 2016 US presidential election is a business in show hn launch.

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I have set up a website for presidential election predictions (http://prespredict.com), and it is now up and running for the 2016 election. It uses daily state poll data and calculates the probability that each candidate will win. It also estimates the most likely number of electoral votes each candidate will get.I originally did this back in 2008, and then applied this to the 2012 election. The methodology was also retroactively applied to the 2004 election using available state polls. In all three past elections, the calculation correctly predicted the winner. It also had a pretty good estimate of the number of electoral votes that each candidate ended up getting.The approach and the websi

Predicting the winner of the 2016 US presidential election is positioned in show hn launch, a segment that rewards a clear, focused offering.

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Website: prespredict.com