PolyBridge – a causal model for forecasting global events

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PolyBridge – a causal model for forecasting global events is a business in show hn launch.

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Hi HN, I’m working on PolyBridge. Ask a question about a future event and it returns a probability, a credible interval, and the evidence behind the result.API/docs: https://polybridge.ai/apiIt combines prediction markets with other data sources in a probabilistic graphical model. We currently index more than 170k event contracts across major prediction-market venues.The model handles current-state queries, forecasts, conditionals, interventions, and counterfactuals.For example, there may be a market on whether the Fed cuts rates in September, but not on how a spike in oil prices would change those odds. The model estimates the change using the relationships between rates, inflation, oil pri

PolyBridge – a causal model for forecasting global events is positioned in show hn launch, a segment that rewards a clear, focused offering.

Its current recorded stage is Show HN launch.

Website: polybridge.ai